Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bordeaux win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bordeaux win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
