Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
