Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.18) 
