Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nimes win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.03) 
