Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 43.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Quevilly had a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Quevilly win it was 1-0 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Quevilly	Draw	Bastia
27.47% ( -2.09)	29.08% ( 0.47)	43.45% ( 1.61)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

-2.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.27% (

-2.28)

63.73% (

2.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.01% (

-1.66)

82.99% (

1.66)

Quevilly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.95% (

-2.97)

40.05% (

2.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.3% (

-2.84)

76.7% (

2.84)

Bastia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0.22)

29.21% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.84% (

-0.28)

65.16% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Quevilly 27.47%

Bastia 43.44%

Draw 29.08%

Quevilly	Draw	Bastia
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.38% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.35) Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.08%	0-1 @ 14.39% ( 1.09) 0-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.44%