Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
