Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.