SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Troyes |
| 23.49% | 27.52% | 48.98% |
| Both teams to score 43.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.01% | 80.99% |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.48% | 78.52% |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% | 25.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.21% | 59.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-1 @ 5.47% 2-0 @ 3.95% 3-1 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.14% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.13% Total : 23.49% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 14.6% 0-2 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-3 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 4.03% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.61% 1-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.13% Total : 48.97% |
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