Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
