SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valenciennes | Draw | Metz |
| 27.59% | 26.09% | 46.32% |
| Both teams to score 50.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Valenciennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% | 34.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.09% | 70.91% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% | 22.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.25% | 56.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valenciennes | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.59% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 11.56% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.32% |
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