Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.