Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
