Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.