Columbus Crew
3 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Santos (26' pen.), Nagbe (46'), Zardes (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clark (23'), White (90')
Davis (40'), Duncan (81'), Long (89')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the MLS Playoffs First Round clash between Columbus Crew and New York Red Bulls.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
42.9%	25.16%	31.93%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62%

47.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41%

69.59%

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95%

22.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.61%

55.39%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25%

63.75%

Score Analysis

Columbus Crew 42.9%

New York Red Bulls 31.93%

Draw 25.16%

Columbus Crew	Draw	New York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.93%