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NY
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Nov 8, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
TF

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto

Barlow (24'), White (26')
Yearwood (15'), Stroud (32'), Meara (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Endoh (50')
Mavinga (22'), Altidore (85'), Nelson (90+4')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Toronto win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
41.15%25.69%33.16%
Both teams to score 54.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65%71.35%
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26%23.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13%57.87%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77%28.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06%63.94%
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 41.15%
    Toronto 33.16%
    Draw 25.68%
New York Red BullsDrawToronto
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 41.15%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.48%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.16%


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