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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
AU

Inter Miami
2 - 3
Atlanta

Rojas (17'), Messi (65')
Redondo (35'), Busquets (80')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Thiare (19', 21'), Slisz (76')
Amador (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs

We said: Inter Miami 3-0 Atlanta United

Lionel Messi always conjures up something special when needed, and given his ability to thrive in big games, we believe he will carry the Herons into the next round of the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
63.45% (0.725 0.73) 18.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 17.96% (-0.666 -0.67)
Both teams to score 63.7% (-1.165 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.89500000000001 -0.9)30.35% (0.895 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.38% (-1.079 -1.08)51.61% (1.078 1.08)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.8% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)9.19% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.86% (-0.209 -0.21)31.14% (0.208 0.21)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15% (-1.213 -1.21)29.85% (1.215 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06% (-1.493 -1.49)65.93% (1.492 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 63.45%
    Atlanta United 17.96%
    Draw 18.58%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 7.52% (0.04 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.301 0.3)
3-0 @ 6.22% (0.238 0.24)
3-2 @ 4.54% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.055 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 63.45%
1-1 @ 7.92% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.74% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.58%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 3.32% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 17.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 New England
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, November 2 at 11pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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