SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.71% ( 0.58) | 23.11% ( -0.24) | 30.17% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 62.38% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( 1) | 38.7% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( 1.04) | 61% ( -1.05) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( 0.61) | 16.92% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.02% ( 1.07) | 46.97% ( -1.07) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.29) | 24.92% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( 0.4) | 59.54% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.22% Total : 46.71% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.17% |
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