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Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
MI

Atlanta
1 - 2
Montreal

Rios (45+3')
Lennon (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martinez (43', 76')
Duke (39'), Saliba (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-1 CF Montreal

Montreal have taken care of business in recent outings, but they will be facing an opponent on Wednesday far superior to their previous two, and we expect a stalemate between two sides that will be desperate to remain in the playoff race but perhaps not so keen to take a lot of risks going forward. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 3-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
63.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 18.47%17.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 63.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)30.07% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)51.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)9.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13%65.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 63.69%
    CF Montreal 17.84%
    Draw 18.48%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 7.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.57%
4-1 @ 4.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.74%
5-1 @ 2.17%
5-0 @ 1.8%
5-2 @ 1.32%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 63.69%
1-1 @ 7.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.71%
0-0 @ 2.7%
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.48%
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 1.98%
1-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 17.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 Atlanta
Sunday, August 25 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 2-2 Montreal
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 0-5 New England
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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