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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
IM

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (Inter Miami wins series 2-0)

It has rarely been a straightforward victory for Miami, but their individual quality always seems to shine when needed, and we believe that alone will be enough to see them eliminate the Five Stripes this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
52.12% (-0.386 -0.39) 21.34% (0.227 0.23) 26.54% (0.166 0.17)
Both teams to score 66.04% (-0.69 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.32% (-0.96300000000001 -0.96)32.68% (0.969 0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.64% (-1.124 -1.12)54.35% (1.129 1.13)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.11% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)12.89% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.71% (-0.92 -0.92)39.29% (0.925 0.93)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.8% (-0.401 -0.4)24.19% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.47% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.52% (0.58 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 52.12%
    Inter Miami 26.54%
    Draw 21.34%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.221 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.09% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.12%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.159 0.16)
3-3 @ 2.13% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.34%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.175 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.088 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.025 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 New England
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Major League Soccer


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