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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024 at 9pm UK
BMO Field
IM

Toronto
0 - 1
Inter Miami


Longstaff (55'), Coello (77'), Rosted (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campana (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 0-3 Inter Miami

Miami have shown they are perhaps the deepest team in the league regarding attacking quality and creativity, and we believe that will continue against a defensive unit in Toronto that still have issues to sort out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawInter Miami
41.91% (-3.132 -3.13) 22.86% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 35.23% (3.15 3.15)
Both teams to score 65.53% (1.225 1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.54% (1.145 1.15)35.46% (-1.144 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.5% (1.26 1.26)57.5% (-1.259 -1.26)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (-0.782 -0.78)17.52% (0.782 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (-1.38 -1.38)48.04% (1.38 1.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (2.218 2.22)20.55% (-2.218 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (3.395 3.4)53.06% (-3.395 -3.4)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 41.91%
    Inter Miami 35.23%
    Draw 22.86%
TorontoDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.368 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.541 -0.54)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.627 -0.63)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.35 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.456 -0.46)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.24 -0.24)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 41.91%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.84% (0.172 0.17)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.391 0.39)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.462 0.46)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.318 0.32)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.319 0.32)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.277 0.28)
2-4 @ 1.43% (0.21 0.21)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toronto 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 Columbus Crew
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Austin
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-3 DC United
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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