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MLS Playoffs | First Round
Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Home Depot Center
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LA Galaxy
1 - 0
Nashville

Araujo (60')
Araujo (64'), Brugman (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zimmerman (20'), Anunga (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Nashville SC

The opening postseason fixture will feature two of the most potent strikers in the league this season, and while LA may have a little more depth in the attack, Nashville can shut down the best strikers in this league. We believe they have an edge at goalkeeper, plus their experience in the postseason is greater than the Galaxy's, so we expect them to pull out a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNashville SC
54.87% (0.044999999999995 0.04) 22.53% (-0.012 -0.01) 22.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.83% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.62% (0.019999999999996 0.02)15.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)44.17% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)32.53% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)69.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 54.87%
    Nashville SC 22.6%
    Draw 22.52%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNashville SC
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 54.87%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 22.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 1-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 25 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-1 Colorado
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 15 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Nashville
Sunday, October 9 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Houston
Monday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-3 America (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, September 22 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Austin 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, September 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-0 Austin
Sunday, September 4 at 2.29am in Major League Soccer


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