Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Nashville SC |
54.87% ( 0.04) | 22.53% ( -0.01) | 22.6% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.09% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% ( 0.02) | 42.43% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.16% ( 0.02) | 64.83% ( -0.01) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.62% ( 0.02) | 15.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.82% ( 0.04) | 44.17% ( -0.04) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( -0.02) | 32.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( -0.02) | 69.06% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Nashville SC |
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.87% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.6% |
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