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Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2022 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
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LA Galaxy
4 - 1
Colorado

Brugman (22', 52'), Edwards (28'), Hernandez (31')
Costa (62')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nicholson (90+1')
Gutierrez (26'), Abubakar (34'), Beitashour (60'), Barrios (63'), Max (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 15 at 3am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Colorado Rapids

Conventional wisdom would suggest that the Galaxy should win this game given their superior quality on paper when compared to the Rapids, not to mention how poor the Burgundy Boys have been defensively on the road. However, Colorado seem to be finding their groove and growing in confidence, which is the opposite for the Galaxy, who make it far too easy for opposing teams to penetrate their defence of a consistent basis. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
56.78% (-0.253 -0.25) 21.68% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 21.54% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 58.54% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.17% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)39.82% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82% (-0.179 -0.18)62.18% (0.182 0.18)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)13.88% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.72% (-0.268 -0.27)41.28% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Colorado Rapids Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.055999999999997 0.06)32.03% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.064 0.06)68.49% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 56.78%
    Colorado Rapids 21.54%
    Draw 21.68%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawColorado Rapids
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 56.78%
1-1 @ 9.99% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 21.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 3-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 15 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 LA Galaxy
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 Kansas
Monday, September 5 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 2-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-2 LA Galaxy
Monday, August 29 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-3 Seattle
Saturday, August 20 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 15 at 3am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 3-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 11 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-0 Colorado
Monday, September 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Colorado
Thursday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 6-0 Colorado
Sunday, August 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 1-1 Houston
Sunday, August 21 at 2am in Major League Soccer


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