Major League Soccer

Sep 18, 2022 at 2am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
1 - 1
Nashville

Driussi (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (56' pen.)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Austin FC 2-2 Nashville SC

Although Nashville won 3-0 when the two sides met at the start of the month, Austin will have home advantage in their favour this time around, and we think that the hosts will be able to hold their in-form opponents to a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Nashville SC
47.38% ( 0.31)	24.2% ( -0.05)	28.42% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 57.35% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.2% (

0.05)

44.8% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.84% (

0.05)

67.16% (

-0.05)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

0.14)

19.03% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39% (

0.24)

50.6% (

-0.25)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.83% (

-0.17)

29.17% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.89% (

-0.21)

65.11% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 47.38%

Nashville SC 28.42%

Draw 24.19%

Austin FC	Draw	Nashville SC
2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.38%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.42%