SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
32.93% ( -0.15) | 23.28% ( 0.01) | 43.79% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 63.19% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.78% ( -0.12) | 38.21% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.51% ( -0.13) | 60.49% ( 0.13) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.14) | 23.05% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( -0.21) | 56.88% ( 0.21) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( 0.01) | 17.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( 0.01) | 48.65% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 43.79% |
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