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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 24
Nov 8, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Soldier Field
NY

Chicago Fire
3 - 4
NY City

Beric (33'), Frankowski (42', 43')
FT(HT: 3-3)
Callens (15'), Mackay-Steven (32'), Medina (37'), Castellanos (77')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and New York City FC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
41.51%25.51%32.97%
Both teams to score 55.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43%48.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.31%70.68%
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76%23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85%57.14%
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72%27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36%63.63%
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 41.51%
    New York City FC 32.97%
    Draw 25.5%
Chicago FireDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.51%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.28%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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