Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.
