Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
