Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
