SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dallas | Draw | Atlanta United |
44.04% ( 0.48) | 24.97% ( -0.24) | 30.98% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( 0.94) | 46.89% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( 0.88) | 69.15% ( -0.88) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( 0.62) | 21.32% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( 0.95) | 54.27% ( -0.95) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.31) | 28.46% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( 0.39) | 64.23% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dallas | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.98% |
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