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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
48.65% ( 0.13) | 24.84% ( -0.04) | 26.51% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( 0.1) | 48.91% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( 0.09) | 71% ( -0.09) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.1) | 20.14% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.59% ( 0.16) | 52.41% ( -0.16) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.24% ( -0.02) | 32.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.68% ( -0.02) | 69.32% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlanta United | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 26.51% |
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