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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
51.7% ( 0.18) | 24.53% ( -0.05) | 23.77% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( 0.06) | 49.87% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( 0.05) | 71.87% ( -0.05) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.73% ( 0.09) | 19.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49% ( 0.15) | 51% ( -0.15) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.4% ( -0.09) | 35.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.63% ( -0.09) | 72.37% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.77% |
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