Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
