Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match.
