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LG
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 16, 2021 at 3.30am UK
The Home Depot Center
HD

LA Galaxy
1 - 1
Houston

Hernandez (61')
dos Santos (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Picault (13')
Vera (51'), Ceren (65'), Valentin (80'), Quintero (86'), Garcia (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
56.76%22.01%21.23%
Both teams to score 56.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23%41.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83%64.17%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46%14.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43%42.56%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58%33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95%70.04%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 56.76%
    Houston Dynamo 21.23%
    Draw 22%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.9%
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 9.03%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 3.07%
4-0 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-1 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 21.23%

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