Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
