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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 28
Aug 29, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Robertson Stadium
MU

Houston
1 - 2
Minnesota Utd

Carrasquilla (1')
Dorsey (61'), Hadebe (73'), Valentin (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hunou (16', 73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
40.41%24.66%34.93%
Both teams to score 58.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72%44.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34%66.66%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82%55.17%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22%24.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65%59.34%
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 40.41%
    Minnesota United 34.93%
    Draw 24.65%
Houston DynamoDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.09%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.46%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.93%

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