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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 27
Aug 19, 2021 at 3am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
HD

Salt Lake
2 - 1
Houston

Meram (6'), Julio (88')
Kreilach (29'), Rusnak (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Picault (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
57.47%23.82%18.71%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66%74.34%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86%18.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89%49.11%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.63%42.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.25%78.75%
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 57.46%
    Houston Dynamo 18.71%
    Draw 23.81%
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 13.12%
2-0 @ 11.19%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.47%
4-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.6%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 18.71%

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