Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.