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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Oct 15, 2020 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
SJ

LA Galaxy
0 - 4
Earthquakes


Insua (48'), Traore (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lima (44', 90+3'), Rios (52'), Thompson (76')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and San Jose Earthquakes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
45.53%22.38%32.08%
Both teams to score 66.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4%15.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.41%44.58%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.42%21.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.33%54.67%
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 45.53%
    San Jose Earthquakes 32.08%
    Draw 22.38%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 8.91%
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.52%
3-2 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-3 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 6.83%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-1 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.96%
1-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 32.08%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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