SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 45.53% | 22.38% | 32.08% |
| Both teams to score 66.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.86% | 34.14% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.97% | 56.02% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% | 15.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.41% | 44.58% |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% | 21.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.33% | 54.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 6.25% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-3 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.06% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-1 @ 5.16% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.56% Total : 32.08% |
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