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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 16
Oct 8, 2020 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
VW

Earthquakes
3 - 0
Vancouver

Espinoza (50'), Rios (66'), Marie (90+3')
Jungwirth (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rose (18'), Baldisimo (60')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
61.64%19.89%18.48%
Both teams to score 59.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.98%58.02%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.75%11.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16%35.84%
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7%69.3%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 61.64%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 18.48%
    Draw 19.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawVancouver Whitecaps
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 8.79%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.15%
3-0 @ 6.4%
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.9%
4-0 @ 3.5%
4-2 @ 2.18%
5-1 @ 1.71%
5-0 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 61.64%
1-1 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 5.48%
0-0 @ 3.69%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 19.89%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-1 @ 4.11%
0-2 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 18.48%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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