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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15
Oct 4, 2020 at 3.30am UK
Buck Shaw Stadium
LG

Earthquakes
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Lopez (42'), Rios (82' pen.)
Fierro (45'), Yueill (63'), Marcinkowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lletget (4')
DePuy (12'), Kitchen (31'), dos Santos (45+1'), Corona (60')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 2-0 (4.94%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
39.76%22.59%37.64%
Both teams to score 66.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25%33.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41%55.58%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64%48.36%
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37%18.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06%49.94%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 39.76%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 37.64%
    Draw 22.59%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 8.31%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.24%
4-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.76%
1-1 @ 9.6%
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.3%
3-3 @ 2.26%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 8.06%
0-1 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 4.52%
2-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.1%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.64%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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