Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.18%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.