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Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2020 at 1am UK
ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex Field 17
MU

Earthquakes
1 - 4
Minnesota Utd

Eriksson (50' pen.)
Judson (41'), Rios (64'), Yueill (85'), Wondolowski (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lod (20'), Hayes (21'), Amarilla (56'), Hairston (86')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Minnesota United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
47.9%22.09%30.01%
Both teams to score 66.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.22%33.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.38%55.62%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37%14.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24%42.76%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42%22.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.81%56.19%
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.9%
    Minnesota United 30.01%
    Draw 22.09%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-2 @ 4.33%
3-0 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 6.76%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-1 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 3.66%
1-3 @ 3.49%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 1.3%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 30.01%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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