Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.