Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
