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MU
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 1am UK
Allianz Field
AF

Minnesota Utd
0 - 1
Austin


Alonso (41'), Boxall (60'), Gasper (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fagundez (17')
Romana (74'), Berhalter (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
68.24%17.35%14.4%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.4%31.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.9%53.09%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53%8.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.62%29.37%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27%34.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55%71.45%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 68.24%
    Austin FC 14.4%
    Draw 17.35%
Minnesota UnitedDrawAustin FC
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 8.96%
3-1 @ 7.8%
3-0 @ 7.38%
1-0 @ 7.26%
4-1 @ 4.82%
4-0 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 4.13%
4-2 @ 2.55%
5-1 @ 2.38%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-2 @ 1.26%
6-1 @ 0.98%
6-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 68.24%
1-1 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 5.02%
0-0 @ 2.94%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.35%
1-2 @ 4.06%
0-1 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-2 @ 1.65%
1-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 14.4%

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