Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
