SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
43.39% ( -0.39) | 23.13% ( 0.14) | 33.48% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.63) | 37.33% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.46% ( -0.68) | 59.54% ( 0.67) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.41) | 17.68% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( -0.71) | 48.31% ( 0.7) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( -0.16) | 22.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( -0.24) | 55.81% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.96% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.48% |
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