SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
64.49% ( 1.74) | 19.22% ( -0.08) | 16.29% ( -1.66) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -3.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% ( -2.75) | 36.73% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.11% ( -3.05) | 58.9% ( 3.04) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.25% ( -0.36) | 10.75% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.27% ( -0.79) | 34.73% ( 0.79) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.34% ( -3.55) | 35.67% ( 3.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( -3.84) | 72.44% ( 3.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.98)1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.99)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.63)4-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.26)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.76% Total : 64.49% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.5)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.22% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.45% Total : 16.29% |
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