SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
65.13% ( -0.03) | 18.7% ( 0.02) | 16.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.59% ( -0.09) | 34.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.67% ( -0.11) | 56.33% ( 0.1) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.06% ( -0.04) | 9.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.12% ( -0.08) | 32.88% ( 0.08) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( -0.05) | 34.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( -0.05) | 71.05% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 4.35% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.7% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.63% Total : 16.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
