SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
57.89% ( -1.17) | 20.89% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( 0.94) |
| Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( 0.18) | 36.54% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( 0.2) | 58.68% ( -0.19) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% ( -0.27) | 12.47% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.56% ( -0.58) | 38.44% ( 0.58) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 0.97) | 30.45% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 1.13) | 66.66% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.25)1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.12% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.84% Total : 21.22% |
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