Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.