Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
