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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 13
Jul 4, 2021 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
SJ

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
Earthquakes

Kallman (45+4'), Abila (69')
Dibassy (85'), Alonso (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cowell (15'), Kikanovic (82')
Remedi (32'), Espinoza (68'), Marie (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
55.77%22.39%21.83%
Both teams to score 56.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.23%42.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.83%65.16%
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8%15.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.18%43.82%
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57%33.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94%70.05%
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 55.77%
    San Jose Earthquakes 21.83%
    Draw 22.39%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 9.02%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 2.92%
4-0 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 55.77%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.41%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 21.83%

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